The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't

The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don't

  • Downloads:2733
  • Type:Epub+TxT+PDF+Mobi
  • Create Date:2021-04-14 15:51:12
  • Update Date:2025-09-06
  • Status:finish
  • Author:Julia Galef
  • ISBN:0735217556
  • Environment:PC/Android/iPhone/iPad/Kindle

Summary

A better way to combat knee-jerk biases and make smarter decisions, from Julia Galef, the acclaimed expert on rational decision-making。

When it comes to what we believe, humans see what they want to see。 In other words, we have what Julia Galef calls a soldier mindset。 From tribalism and wishful thinking, to rationalizing in our personal lives and everything in between, we are driven to defend the ideas we most want to believe--and shoot down those we don't。

But if we want to get things right more often, argues Galef, we should train ourselves to have a scout mindset。 Unlike the soldier, a scout's goal isn't to defend one side over the other。 It's to go out, survey the territory, and come back with as accurate a map as possible。 Regardless of what they hope to be the case, above all, the scout wants to know what's actually true。

In The Scout Mindset, Galef shows that what makes scouts better at getting things right isn't that they're smarter or more knowledgeable than everyone else。 It's a handful of emotional skills, habits, and ways of looking at the world--which anyone can learn。 With fascinating examples ranging from how to survive being stranded in the middle of the ocean, to how Jeff Bezos avoids overconfidence, to how superforecasters outperform CIA operatives, to Reddit threads and modern partisan politics, Galef explores why our brains deceive us and what we can do to change the way we think。

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Reviews

Gavin

Here's a way to tell scientific intelligence from legal intelligence。 Both may start from the idea that something cannot be done and think up arguments to explain why。 However, the scientist may discover a flaw in the argument that leads him change his mind and to discover a way to do it。。。 The legal thinker will merely try to patch the flaw in the argument, because, once he has chosen a side, all his intelligence is devoted to finding arguments for that side。 ― John McCarthyI was a bit of a Here's a way to tell scientific intelligence from legal intelligence。 Both may start from the idea that something cannot be done and think up arguments to explain why。 However, the scientist may discover a flaw in the argument that leads him change his mind and to discover a way to do it。。。 The legal thinker will merely try to patch the flaw in the argument, because, once he has chosen a side, all his intelligence is devoted to finding arguments for that side。 ― John McCarthyI was a bit of a legalist as a young man: completely gripped by what Galef calls the "soldier mindset", the urge to win arguments and cling to your positions, rather than find the truth。 I was a philosophy student。 Philosophy is supposed to be dispassionate and open-minded, but in fact the sheer number of degrees of freedom in it, and the absence of conclusive evidence lead to the usual bias and inertia。 (We can name positions after philosophers because so few change their minds。) A certain level of intelligence and knowledge of say logical fallacies can end up trapping you, since you can usually improvise a fix for the deadly new fact, the fatal anomaly。Or not。 This is an uplifting and useful set of stories about moving from the (pretty diseased) default mode of thinking to be, on average, less deluded and unfair。 If you spend much time looking at internet arguments, or TV news debates, or other kinds of stupid war then you'll be cheered, and - who knows - healed, by Galef's examples of people changing their minds and running the numbers, against their current narrowly construed interests。 Galef is a master of this, as you can see from basically any of her radio episodes。Much more like a normal business book than I expected, with three-sentence stories of [random CEO]'s [triumph | desolation], and with more references to other self-help books。 I'll accept this as airport bookshop camouflage。 It is a friendly first step into honest reason。The principles are not new, but the illustrating anecdotes are, and the writing is utterly, crashingly accessible in the Bestseller Nonfiction style, and it's short and sunny, and anyway it is a vital public service to redo Plato / Schopenhauer / Peirce / Russell / Feynman / Kahneman / Hanson / Yudkowsky / Galef, every say two years til the end of time。 News to me:* The London Homeopathic Hospital had the best results during the Victorian cholera epidemic, for reasons unrelated to homeopathy (clean sheets and proto-rehydration therapy)。 Still dismal 18% mortality。* Spock has a Brier score of about 0。36, more than twice as bad as me, and well below the average performance of forecasters on random low-stakes internet platforms。* An author of the Christian abstinence craze was persuaded that his book (advising that teens not even date other teens) was harmful, and stopped selling it。 。。。more

Dylan Matthews

Julia’s a friend so I’ll avoid being too effusive。 But this is a rare book that actually makes you want to be a better, or at least a better-reasoning, person。

Cristina Balan

I started reading this book with a strange feeling: I could not understand the link between a scout and how people think。 Slowly into the book, I realised that I was wrong: there is a strong connection between how people in general think and react, and the inquirer's mindset。 Critical thinking is the muscle we lack training。 We pay the costs, while the burden gets bigger only because we are not true to ourselves。 We keep lying ourselves instead of scrutinising arguments, researching, checking if I started reading this book with a strange feeling: I could not understand the link between a scout and how people think。 Slowly into the book, I realised that I was wrong: there is a strong connection between how people in general think and react, and the inquirer's mindset。 Critical thinking is the muscle we lack training。 We pay the costs, while the burden gets bigger only because we are not true to ourselves。 We keep lying ourselves instead of scrutinising arguments, researching, checking if we are indeed right or not。 I don't know who said that changing our minds is a sign of intelligence (please attribute it as appropriate), but admitting we are or might be wrong is definitely a sign of health。 Instead of taking things personal and fighting others for no solid reason (and no real satisfaction), we should take a step back, chill a bit, look again into things, then admit that we can't be always, ALWAYS, right。Bonus: there's a sweet hint in the book on how the author met the love of her life。 Happy marriage and good luck! It looks like both of you have the appropriate mindset。 。。。more

Steve

[WIP] ref http://marginalrevolution。com/margina。。。 [WIP] ref http://marginalrevolution。com/margina。。。 。。。more

TEELOCK Mithilesh

4 Apr 2016Why "scout mindset" is crucial to good judgment | Julia Galef | TEDxPSU - #YouTube: https://www。youtube。com/watch?v=3MYEt。。。8 Aug 2016Why you think you're right -- even if you're wrong | Julia Galef - #YouTube: https://www。youtube。com/watch?v=w4RLf。。。19 Oct 2019 #BacklinkingSoldiers and Scouts: Why our minds weren't built for truth I Julia Galef - #YouTube: https://www。youtube。com/watch?v=yfRC8。。。1 Nov 2019Scout Mindset vs Soldier Mindset (Argument Ninja Dojo community meeting topic) - 4 Apr 2016Why "scout mindset" is crucial to good judgment | Julia Galef | TEDxPSU - #YouTube: https://www。youtube。com/watch?v=3MYEt。。。8 Aug 2016Why you think you're right -- even if you're wrong | Julia Galef - #YouTube: https://www。youtube。com/watch?v=w4RLf。。。19 Oct 2019 #BacklinkingSoldiers and Scouts: Why our minds weren't built for truth I Julia Galef - #YouTube: https://www。youtube。com/watch?v=yfRC8。。。1 Nov 2019Scout Mindset vs Soldier Mindset (Argument Ninja Dojo community meeting topic) - #YouTube: https://www。youtube。com/watch?v=UM7vc。。。 。。。more

Darya

Have you ever read a book that teaches you how to think? Here it is! The book has plenty of stories with real life examples of how other people can judge the right from their perspective and experience but this redundant their judgement is accurate。 Interesting to compare with real life and how we normally think of situations, people or events。 We take our experience to judge and make conclusions where about the most important be to step out and take an objective look。 Another example I liked is Have you ever read a book that teaches you how to think? Here it is! The book has plenty of stories with real life examples of how other people can judge the right from their perspective and experience but this redundant their judgement is accurate。 Interesting to compare with real life and how we normally think of situations, people or events。 We take our experience to judge and make conclusions where about the most important be to step out and take an objective look。 Another example I liked is about risk calculation for a venture to fail or succeed。 Many successful entrepreneurs would take high risk to try and bring their ideas to life。 。。。more