Where Great Powers Meet: America and China in Southeast Asia

Where Great Powers Meet: America and China in Southeast Asia

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  • Type:Epub+TxT+PDF+Mobi
  • Create Date:2021-04-09 11:51:23
  • Update Date:2025-09-06
  • Status:finish
  • Author:David Shambaugh
  • ISBN:0190914971
  • Environment:PC/Android/iPhone/iPad/Kindle

Summary

After the end of the Cold War, it seemed as if Southeast Asia would remain a geopolitically stable region within the American-led order for the foreseeable future。 In the last two decades, however, the re-emergence of China as a major great power has called into question the geopolitical future of the region and raised the specter of renewed of great power competition。

As the eminent China scholar David Shambaugh explains in Where Great Powers Meet, the United States and China are engaged in a broad-gauged and global competition for power。 While this competition ranges across the entire world, it is centered in Asia, and in this book, Shambaugh focuses the ten countries that comprise Southeast Asia。 The United States and China constantly vie for position and influence in this enormously significant region-and the outcome of this contest will do much to determine whether Asia leaves the American orbit after seven decades and falls into a new Chinese sphere of influence。 Just as importantly, to the extent that there is a global "power transition" occurring from the US to China, the fate of Southeast Asia will be a good indicator。 Presently, both powers bring important assets to bear。 The US continues to possess a depth and breadth of security ties, soft power, and direct investment across the region that empirically outweigh China's。 For its part, China has more diplomatic influence, much greater trade, and geographic proximity。 In assessing the likelihood of a regional power transition, Shambaugh at how ASEAN (the Association of Southeast Asian Nations) and the countries within it maneuver between the United States and China and the degree to which they align with one or the other power。

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Reviews

Hadrian

A single-author study on the region of southeast Asia by an eminent scholar of Chinese politics。 Four chapters of the seven in the book are devoted to American and Chinese "encounters" in southeast Asia; starting with the broad historical view and continuing to the present era of "great power competition"。 Easily, the strongest chapters of the book are those which focus on the near past and the present。 The author's access to elite opinions (academics, higher-ranking ministers, and even some hea A single-author study on the region of southeast Asia by an eminent scholar of Chinese politics。 Four chapters of the seven in the book are devoted to American and Chinese "encounters" in southeast Asia; starting with the broad historical view and continuing to the present era of "great power competition"。 Easily, the strongest chapters of the book are those which focus on the near past and the present。 The author's access to elite opinions (academics, higher-ranking ministers, and even some heads of state) and his ability to elicit serious answers and doubts from personal interviews form an intriguing gauge of perspectives in what they believe, or what they would signal to others that they believe。 Shambaugh does not exclusively concentrate on military influence or territorial disputes; those commercial links and personal exchanges that are so often the bedrock for further negotiations are closer ties are also investigated。 For example, thousands of Thai military officers have been trained in the United States -- or also, many more thousands of students in the region are educated in Chinese universities, not solely in the United States。 Even so, there is an astonishing shortfall of expertise about Southeast Asia itself, including in China。 What he finds is a pervasive ambiguity, where countries would at present see themselves caught between two powers, and are at times distrustful of their intentions, and yet want to keep their options open in the case of further maneuvers。 There are very few cases of governments that have wholly thrown their lot in with one great power or the other。 Of the countries surveyed, Singapore has the closest relationship with the United States, whereas the state that could be most seriously considered a client state of China is Cambodia。 And where there is suspicion of China's naked ambitions, the United States, the last four years have done little to shake the perception of relative decline, framed by incoherent commitments from the outgoing Trump administration。 One hopes that the history of the region in the 21st century will not be as violent as the 20th。 Even so, this is a valuable guide for following what turbulence may arise in the coming years。 。。。more

Erik Champenois

David Shambaugh is one of the top China scholars in the world and it is always a pleasure to read one of his books。 In this, his most recent book, he details the history and current influence of the United States and China in Southeast Asia and Southeast Asia's navigating between the two great powers。 Especially helpful was chapter 6, which goes into country-by-country detail on the ten ASEAN countries' relationships to China vis-à-vis the United States。 Shambaugh concludes that China is doing b David Shambaugh is one of the top China scholars in the world and it is always a pleasure to read one of his books。 In this, his most recent book, he details the history and current influence of the United States and China in Southeast Asia and Southeast Asia's navigating between the two great powers。 Especially helpful was chapter 6, which goes into country-by-country detail on the ten ASEAN countries' relationships to China vis-à-vis the United States。 Shambaugh concludes that China is doing better than the United States from the strategic point of view, making significant inroads and pulling most Southeast Asian countries closer to itself than to the United States。 However, the United States still has deep roots and more comprehensive power than does China - with particular advantages in its military and soft power。 The U。S。 also has significantly more direct investment in Southeast Asia than does China。 Shambaugh calls for the U。S。 to fully recognize Southeast Asia as a strategic foreign policy priority - and calls for the U。S。 to engage in stronger public diplomacy efforts to, in part, educate Southeast Asians about what the United States contributes (China's information/public diplomacy/propaganda campaigns have been significantly more effective than the U。S。, which engages too little in this kind of work, as Robert Gates also noted in his recent book)。 Finally, Shambaugh calls for the U。S。 to navigate carefully and to engage Southeast Asia but to not alienate Southeast Asia by asking countries to choose between the U。S。 and China - the best that can be hoped for is a more neutral hedging and partial strategic alignment with the United States。 It will be interesting to watch what efforts the incoming Biden administration will make in Southeast Asia。 Hopefully there will be a push to re-engage Southeast Asia under a revitalized "pivot。" In any case, the regional competition with China will be a significant foreign policy challenge for years and decades to come。 。。。more